As a sustainable aviation fuel, SAF is considered one of the most promising ways to significantly reduce CO₂ emissions in aviation. The targets are ambitious – according to the ReFuelEU regulation, the share of SAF should be 2 percent by 2025, and even reach 70 percent by 2050. However, there is still a wide gap between the target and reality: There is a lack of production capacities, the anticipated price drop has not yet materialized, and many airlines are facing the question of how SAF can actually be integrated effectively into their existing business models.
SAF is not a standard product – depending on the production method, it can cost more than conventional kerosene. Significant investments are needed to meet future demand – in Europe alone, over 100 new plants would need to be built by 2050. To make this a reality, some airlines are supporting the construction of SAF production facilities, in part through direct investments. Power-to-liquid technologies are especially promising, although they are still far from being available on an industrial scale. We see three key levers to turn SAF from a trend into reality.
In order for SAF to actually be deployed across the board, airlines and airports will need to revise their strategies within sales, purchasing, and partnerships.